BIGCAPITAL's Blog

March 29, 2011

Japanese reconstruction may boost GDP growth

Japanese reconstruction may boost GDP growth

Experts suggest the massive Japanese earthquake may push up the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) as a result of the reconstruction efforts but Japanese equities and insurers are likely to suffer.

A report from Citi expects reconstruction demand will materialise in the second half (H2) of 2011, eventually pushing up GDP.

“We estimate the net impact on GDP growth in 2011 at +0.2% to 0.3% points,” said Citi.

This supposition was supported by rating’s agency Moody’s.

“Reconstruction spending will likely prove to be a very effective and justifiable fiscal stimulus. Such expenditure will likely offset the economic impact from immediate losses in production and demand,” it said.

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