BIGCAPITAL's Blog

January 1, 2011

IMF Economist Sees Two-Speed Recovery In 2011

IMF Economist Sees Two-Speed Recovery In 2011

(RTTNews) – A two-speed economic recovery will be extended into 2011 with rich nations facing weak growth and emerging markets moving ahead with strong recovery, according to IMF’s chief economist Olivier Blanchard.

In an interview to the Fund’s online magazine, IMF survey, Blanchard noted that along with their strong rebound, emerging economies will be facing tough challenges like managing possible overheating and capital flows. At the same time, growth in advanced economies will remain low, barely enough to bring down unemployment.

“The two-speed recovery, low in advanced countries, fast in emerging market countries, is striking and its features are increasingly stark. They will probably dominate 2011, and beyond,” Blanchard said.

He also warned that countries will be risking a healthy recovery in the absence of continued focus on rebalancing their economies in the coming year, including structural measures and exchange rate adjustments.

Countries with excessive budget deficit must rely more on external demand or exports. And, by symmetry, surplus countries, many of them emerging markets, must do the reverse, shift from external demand to domestic demand and reduce their dependence on exports, the economist noted.

Regarding the economic prospects of low-income countries, he said recovery in trade and high commodity prices have bettered economic conditions in these nations. Private domestic demand also remained quite strong

Source: http://marketpin.blogspot.com/

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October 5, 2010

Many banks expect that AUD/USD will rise to parity by the year-end

Filed under: Uncategorized — bigcapital @ 8:19 pm
Tags: , , , ,

BNP Paribas is one of the largest global banking groups in the world, bet on Aussie’s strength.

Strategists at BNP Paribas are loyal to the forecast that Australian dollar will rise above the parity with the greenback to $1.0200 by end of the fourth quarter.

Technical analysts at RBS Morgans are quite bullish on Australian dollar expecting that the pair AUD/USD will advance to US$0.978 in coming months. Some traders even bet that Aussie’s going to strengthen to parity with its US counterpart.

Analysts at BNP Paribas SA in London expect that Australian currency will for the first time rise to parity with the greenback by the end of 2010 and trade at the level of $1.02. According to the specialists, this may happen as Australia’s economic growth is gaining pace, while the Federal Reserve intends for further monetary policy.

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